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Much more Gas, much less Coal!

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To celebrate US Independence Day, Thunder Said Energy (TSE) aka Rob West produced a very insightful analysis of global emissions performance as compared with the US’s US: CO2 emissions 

To summarise, whereas global CO2 emissions rose +0.8% pa in the past five years, as the emerging world’s rose +1.8% pa, China’s +3.1% pa and India’s +3.7% pa, the US’s fell by another -3.4% in 2023, having fallen by -1.8% pa in the past half-decade, and by -20% overall from their 2004 peak.

The main driver of this reduction is the displacement of coal by gas in power generation with coal use plummeting as shown in the attached graphic. Renewables have also begun to contribute.

TSE offers the view that:

“Pragmatic progress can thus still take the US to net zero by 2050, economically, via more of the above, 1GTpa of CCS, 2GTpa of CO2 removals.”

Looking at the global numbers, data shows that the emissions increases in both India and China are driven by an ever increasing burning of coal; a worthwhile study would be to assess whether there is in principle enough global gas to displace coal burning in these two countries!

It is some time since I saw a knowledgeable review of global gas reserves, resources, and yet-to-find.

Energy generation coal
https://thundersaidenergy.com

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